Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W preview and prediction
The match
Toluca W host Santos Laguna W in the Liga MX Femenil on Tuesday 20 October, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Santos Laguna W sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Toluca W's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Pachuca W 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santos Laguna W's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Puebla W 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Santos Laguna W 0–1 Toluca W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Toluca W and 1.0 for Santos Laguna W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 72%, draw 17%, Santos Laguna W 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Toluca W 2–1 Santos Laguna W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @5.50
Santos Laguna W11%fair 9.25 · @8.50
3.70Expected goals
2.70Toluca W xG
1.00Santos Laguna W xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.7 – 1.0 Santos Laguna W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W?
Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Santos Laguna W 11%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 Santos Laguna W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W?
Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
