Double chanceGuadalajara W or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.17
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa W travel to Estadio Akron in the Liga MX Femenil on Wednesday 21 October (04:07 WAT) to face Guadalajara W. Guadalajara W are 4th with 30 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Necaxa W sit 18th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guadalajara W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Juárez W 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Necaxa W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cruz Azul W 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Guadalajara W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 3.0 for Guadalajara W and 0.6 for Necaxa W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 43% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guadalajara W 86%, draw 9%, Necaxa W 5%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara W or draw – a 95% chance. Predicted score: Guadalajara W 3–0 Necaxa W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara W86%fair 1.16 · @1.02
Draw9%fair 11.68 · @21.00
Necaxa W5%fair 18.79 · @101.00
3.65Expected goals
3.05Guadalajara W xG
0.60Necaxa W xG
43%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–012%
2–012%
4–09%
1–08%
3–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara W 3.0 – 0.6 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara W to win✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Double chance
Guadalajara W or draw✓
95%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.17
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara W ahead at half-time✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara W / FT Guadalajara W✓
62%
1.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Guadalajara W – last 6
WWWLWL
5 Oct
vs Juárez W
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Cruz Azul W
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Tijuana W
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Monterrey W
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Atlas W
4–0
W
31 Aug
vs Pumas UNAM W
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLLLL
4 Oct
vs Cruz Azul W
0–2
L
29 Sep
vs Toluca W
0–4
L
19 Sep
@ Monterrey W
0–10
L
13 Sep
@ Juárez W
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Puebla W
1–4
L
0.2Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara W and Necaxa W.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W?
Our pick is Guadalajara W or draw with a 95% chance.
Who will win Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Guadalajara W have a 86% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Necaxa W 5%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara W 3–0 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W?
Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 04:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
