Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca W to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Pachuca W vs Toluca W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Pachuca W take on Toluca W on Monday 5 October, kicking off at 02:06 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Pachuca W are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Toluca W sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Pachuca W's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Santos Laguna W 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Toluca W's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Necaxa W 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Toluca W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Toluca W 1–1 Pachuca W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Pachuca W and 1.3 for Toluca W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pachuca W 61%, draw 18%, Toluca W 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pachuca W to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pachuca W 2–1 Toluca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca W61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @3.75
Toluca W22%fair 4.65 · @3.25
3.56Expected goals
2.28Pachuca W xG
1.28Toluca W xG
65%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pachuca W 2.3 – 1.3 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pachuca W to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Pachuca W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Toluca W 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Pachuca W 2–1 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
Pachuca W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
