Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul W to win ✓72% · @1.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Necaxa W take on Cruz Azul W on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 04:10 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa W are 18th with 1 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Cruz Azul W sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Necaxa W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Toluca W 0–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Cruz Azul W's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Guadalajara W 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cruz Azul W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Cruz Azul W 3–0 Necaxa W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.2 for Necaxa W and 2.8 for Cruz Azul W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa W 15%, draw 13%, Cruz Azul W 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Necaxa W 1–2 Cruz Azul W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa W15%fair 6.80 · @21.00
Draw13%fair 7.69 · @9.50
Cruz Azul W72%fair 1.38 · @1.08
3.94Expected goals
1.16Necaxa W xG
2.78Cruz Azul W xG
62%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 1.2 – 2.8 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cruz Azul W 72%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 1–2 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
