Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: América W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmérica W to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 16.57
Monterrey W vs América W preview and prediction
The match
América W travel to Cancha El Barrial in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 3 October (04:00 WAT) to face Monterrey W. Monterrey W are 2nd with 37 points from 14 games (in the top four), while América W sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monterrey W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Puebla W 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.3 per game.
América W's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat León W 5–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished América W 3–0 Monterrey W. Across their last 3 meetings Monterrey W have won 1, América W 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.2 goals: 2.1 for Monterrey W and 3.1 for América W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterrey W 22%, draw 23%, América W 56%.
Safer route: América W or draw (78%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.55.
Value angle: América W to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was América W or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Monterrey W 2–3 América W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey W22%fair 4.63 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
América W56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
5.22Expected goals
2.09Monterrey W xG
3.13América W xG
68%Both score
89%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–36%
2–26%
1–36%
1–26%
2–45%
1–45%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.1 – 3.1 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs América W?
Our pick is América W or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Monterrey W vs América W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and América W 56%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs América W?
We expect about 5.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs América W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–3 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.2 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs América W?
Monterrey W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
