Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca W to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Toluca W vs Tijuana W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Toluca W take on Tijuana W on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Tijuana W sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toluca W's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Monterrey W 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tijuana W's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Pachuca W 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Toluca W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Toluca W and 1.1 for Tijuana W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 62%, draw 21%, Tijuana W 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca W to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Toluca W 2–1 Tijuana W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
Tijuana W17%fair 6.04 · @5.00
3.42Expected goals
2.29Toluca W xG
1.13Tijuana W xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–07%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.3 – 1.1 Tijuana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Toluca W – last 6
LWWDWW
6 Sep
@ Monterrey W
1–5
L
29 Aug
vs León W
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Atlante W
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Atlas W
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Juárez W
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Atlético San Luis W
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tijuana W – last 6
WLLWLL
6 Sep
vs Pachuca W
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ América W
1–3
L
25 Aug
@ Atlas W
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
9 Aug
@ Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Monterrey W
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Tijuana W.
Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tijuana W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 Tijuana W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
Toluca W vs Tijuana W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
