Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeón W to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceLeón W or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.77
León W vs Puebla W preview and prediction
The match
León W host Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 02:06 (WAT). León W are 7th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Puebla W sit 17th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
León W's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Toluca W 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Puebla W's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Necaxa W 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 4.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 3.0 for León W and 1.4 for Puebla W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: León W 70%, draw 16%, Puebla W 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.65 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: León W 3–1 Puebla W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
León W70%fair 1.42 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @7.10
Puebla W13%fair 7.41 · @12.00
4.38Expected goals
3.02León W xG
1.35Puebla W xG
65%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: León W 3.0 – 1.4 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
León W to win✓
70%
1.42
1.18
Double chance
León W or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Half-time result
León W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.77
–
Form
León W – last 6
LWLLWL
29 Aug
@ Toluca W
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Monterrey W
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Querétaro W
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Tigres UANL W
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Pumas UNAM W
5–2
W
25 Apr
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 6
WLLLLD
30 Aug
vs Necaxa W
4–1
W
23 Aug
vs Atlético San Luis W
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ América W
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Guadalajara W
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Tigres UANL W
0–8
L
5 Apr
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between León W and Puebla W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win León W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers León W have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Puebla W 13%.
How many goals will there be in León W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for León W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is León W 3–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is León W vs Puebla W?
León W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
