Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Juárez W to win @ 1.93 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuárez W to win ✓62% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Juárez W take on Cruz Azul W on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 04:10 (WAT). Juárez W are 5th with 30 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cruz Azul W sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Juárez W's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Santos Laguna W 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cruz Azul W's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL W 0–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Juárez W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Juárez W and 1.2 for Cruz Azul W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juárez W 62%, draw 13%, Cruz Azul W 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Juárez W to win at 1.93 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juárez W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juárez W62%fair 1.60 · @1.93
Draw13%fair 7.96 · @3.75
Cruz Azul W25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
3.34Expected goals
2.13Juárez W xG
1.21Cruz Azul W xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Juárez W 2.1 – 1.2 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juárez W to win✓
62%
1.60
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Half-time result
Juárez W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juárez W / FT Juárez W✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Juárez W – last 6
WLLWDW
23 Aug
vs Santos Laguna W
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Tigres UANL W
0–1
L
11 Aug
@ Toluca W
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Pachuca W
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs América W
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Atlas W
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul W – last 6
LWLWLD
23 Aug
vs Tigres UANL W
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Atlante W
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ América W
0–10
L
1 Aug
vs Atlas W
3–1
W
3 May
@ Monterrey W
0–4
L
30 Apr
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juárez W and Cruz Azul W.
What is the prediction for Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Juárez W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cruz Azul W 25%.
How many goals will there be in Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Juárez W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
