Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca W to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Toluca W vs León W preview and prediction
The match
Toluca W host León W in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while León W sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Toluca W's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Atlante W 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
León W's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Monterrey W 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Toluca W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished León W 3–3 Toluca W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Toluca W and 1.1 for León W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 68%, draw 17%, León W 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca W to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Toluca W 2–1 León W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.20
León W15%fair 6.77 · @5.00
3.50Expected goals
2.44Toluca W xG
1.06León W xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.4 – 1.1 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toluca W vs León W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and León W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs León W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs León W?
Toluca W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
