Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmérica W to win ✓79% · @1.03
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.15
Necaxa W vs América W preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa W host América W in the Liga MX Femenil on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 01:06 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa W are 18th with 1 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while América W sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Necaxa W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tijuana W 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
América W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Puebla W 5–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 5.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
América W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.9 goals: 1.2 for Necaxa W and 3.6 for América W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa W 7%, draw 14%, América W 79%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 59% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Necaxa W 1–3 América W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa W7%fair 14.06 · @39.00
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @13.50
América W79%fair 1.26 · @1.03
4.86Expected goals
1.24Necaxa W xG
3.62América W xG
59%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–47%
1–26%
0–36%
0–46%
0–25%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 1.2 – 3.6 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
79%
1.26
1.03
Double chance
América W or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
59%
1.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
13.15
–
Form
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLLLL
16 Aug
@ Tijuana W
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Pumas UNAM W
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Atlante W
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
América W – last 6
WWWWWW
15 Aug
vs Puebla W
5–1
W
8 Aug
vs Cruz Azul W
10–0
W
4 Aug
@ Santos Laguna W
3–0
W
24 May
vs Washington Spirit W
5–3
W
21 May
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
4–1
W
17 May
vs Monterrey W
3–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa W and América W.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Necaxa W vs América W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 14% and América W 79%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs América W?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs América W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 1–3 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs América W?
Necaxa W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 01:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
