Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pachuca W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca W to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chancePachuca W or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Pachuca W take on Guadalajara W on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Pachuca W are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Guadalajara W sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pachuca W's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Pumas UNAM W 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Guadalajara W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Atlético San Luis W 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Guadalajara W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Pachuca W 2–0 Guadalajara W. Across their last 3 meetings Pachuca W have won 1, Guadalajara W 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Pachuca W and 1.1 for Guadalajara W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pachuca W 62%, draw 23%, Guadalajara W 15%.
Safer route: Pachuca W or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Pachuca W to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pachuca W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pachuca W 2–1 Guadalajara W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca W62%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Guadalajara W15%fair 6.83 · @3.50
3.33Expected goals
2.26Pachuca W xG
1.07Guadalajara W xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pachuca W 2.3 – 1.1 Guadalajara W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W?
Our pick is Pachuca W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W?
On our numbers Pachuca W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadalajara W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W?
Our predicted score is Pachuca W 2–1 Guadalajara W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W?
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
