Monterrey W host León W in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Cancha El Barrial. Monterrey W are 2nd with 37 points from 14 games (in the top four), while León W sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterrey W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Santos Laguna W 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
León W's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Querétaro W 0–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Monterrey W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Monterrey W and 0.9 for León W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterrey W 73%, draw 17%, León W 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Monterrey W 2–1 León W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey W73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @5.75
León W10%fair 10.51 · @10.75
3.65Expected goals
2.70Monterrey W xG
0.95León W xG
61%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.7 – 0.9 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Double chance
Monterrey W or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Half-time result
Monterrey W ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✗
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Monterrey W – last 6
WWWLWW
18 Aug
@ Santos Laguna W
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Atlante W
3–1
W
2 Aug
@ Tijuana W
2–1
W
17 May
@ América W
0–3
L
15 May
vs América W
1–0
W
11 May
vs Pachuca W
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
León W – last 6
LLWLLD
18 Aug
vs Querétaro W
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Tigres UANL W
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Pumas UNAM W
5–2
W
25 Apr
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Pachuca W
4–5
L
1 Apr
vs Toluca W
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterrey W and León W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Monterrey W vs León W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and León W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs León W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs León W?
Monterrey W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
