Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Monterrey W to win @ 1.88 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey W to win ✓62% · @1.88
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Tijuana W vs Monterrey W preview and prediction
The match
Tijuana W host Monterrey W in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 04:10 (WAT) at Estadio Caliente. Tijuana W are 14th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Monterrey W sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tijuana W's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Mazatlán W 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Monterrey W's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to América W 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Tijuana W and 1.9 for Monterrey W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tijuana W 15%, draw 24%, Monterrey W 62%.
Safer route: Monterrey W or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Monterrey W to win at 1.88 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Monterrey W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tijuana W 0–1 Monterrey W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tijuana W15%fair 6.87 · @3.95
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Monterrey W62%fair 1.62 · @1.88
2.70Expected goals
0.81Tijuana W xG
1.89Monterrey W xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 0.8 – 1.9 Monterrey W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✓
62%
1.62
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Monterrey W or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Monterrey W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
Tijuana W – last 6
WLDWWL
25 Apr
vs Mazatlán W
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
30 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Querétaro W
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monterrey W – last 6
LWWLWD
17 May
@ América W
0–3
L
15 May
vs América W
1–0
W
11 May
vs Pachuca W
4–1
W
8 May
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
3 May
vs Cruz Azul W
4–0
W
30 Apr
@ Cruz Azul W
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and Monterrey W.
What is the prediction for Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
Our pick is Monterrey W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monterrey W 62%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 0–1 Monterrey W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
Tijuana W vs Monterrey W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
