Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEOM to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceNEOM or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
NEOM vs Abha preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees NEOM take on Abha on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at King Khalid Sports City. NEOM are 5th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Abha sit 18th on 3 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NEOM's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Abha's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
NEOM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for NEOM and 0.6 for Abha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEOM 67%, draw 21%, Abha 12%.
Safer route: NEOM or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEOM to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NEOM 1–0 Abha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEOM67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.80
Abha12%fair 8.34 · @4.80
2.44Expected goals
1.83NEOM xG
0.61Abha xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: NEOM 1.8 – 0.6 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✓
67%
1.50
1.53
Double chance
NEOM or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
NEOM ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
NEOM – last 6
LLWDWW
20 Oct
@ Al-Nassr
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al-Hazm
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Al-Fateh
4–2
W
7 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
LDLLLD
16 Oct
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Al Diriyah
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ Al-Nassr
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Al-Fayha
2–3
L
25 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEOM and Abha.
Our pick is NEOM to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win NEOM vs Abha?
On our numbers NEOM have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Abha 12%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Abha?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Abha?
Our predicted score is NEOM 1–0 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Abha?
NEOM vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
