Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Al-Nassr vs NEOM preview and prediction
The match
NEOM travel to Al-Awwal Park in the Pro League on Tuesday 20 October (19:00 WAT) to face Al-Nassr. Al-Nassr are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while NEOM sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Neftchi 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
NEOM's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Al-Ettifaq 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Al-Nassr and 0.8 for NEOM. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nassr 65%, draw 21%, NEOM 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Nassr to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 2–0 NEOM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr65%fair 1.54 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.60
NEOM14%fair 7.20 · @6.50
2.82Expected goals
2.01Al-Nassr xG
0.81NEOM xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.0 – 0.8 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
65%
1.54
1.33
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.30
–
Form
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWLDWL
12 Oct
vs Neftchi
3–1
W
9 Oct
vs Al Diriyah
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Al Ain
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Abha
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NEOM – last 6
LWDWWW
17 Oct
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al-Hazm
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Al-Fateh
4–2
W
7 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
W
3 Sep
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and NEOM.
Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NEOM 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–0 NEOM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
Al-Nassr vs NEOM (Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
