Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al-Nassr take on Al Diriyah on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Al-Awwal Park. Al-Nassr are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Al Diriyah sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Al Ain 0–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al Diriyah's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Abha 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 August 2026, finished Al Diriyah 1–4 Al-Nassr.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Al-Nassr and 0.7 for Al Diriyah. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nassr 64%, draw 23%, Al Diriyah 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Nassr to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 1–0 Al Diriyah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr64%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.75
Al Diriyah13%fair 7.72 · @5.50
2.50Expected goals
1.82Al-Nassr xG
0.68Al Diriyah xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 1.8 – 0.7 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Diriyah 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 1–0 Al Diriyah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.