Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEOM to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceNEOM or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.51
NEOM vs Al-Fateh preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees NEOM take on Al-Fateh on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 17:20 (WAT) at King Khalid Sports City. NEOM are 5th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NEOM's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Fateh's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Al Diriyah 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
NEOM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for NEOM and 0.4 for Al-Fateh. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEOM 62%, draw 24%, Al-Fateh 14%.
Safer route: NEOM or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEOM to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: NEOM 1–0 Al-Fateh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEOM62%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
Al-Fateh14%fair 7.23 · @4.40
1.83Expected goals
1.38NEOM xG
0.45Al-Fateh xG
52%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: NEOM 1.4 – 0.4 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Double chance
NEOM or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.51
–
Form
NEOM – last 6
WWLLWW
7 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
W
3 Sep
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Al Riyadh
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
LDDDLL
9 Sep
vs Al Diriyah
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Al Taawon
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Al Ula
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEOM and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is NEOM to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers NEOM have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al-Fateh 14%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is NEOM 1–0 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
NEOM vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:20 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
