Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Al-Ettifaq to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Ettifaq to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Abha vs Al-Ettifaq preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Abha take on Al-Ettifaq on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium. Abha are 18th with 3 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Al-Ettifaq sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Abha's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Al-Fayha 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Al-Ettifaq's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Al Diriyah 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Al-Ettifaq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Abha and 1.8 for Al-Ettifaq. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Abha 32%, draw 21%, Al-Ettifaq 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Al-Ettifaq to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Abha 1–1 Al-Ettifaq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Abha32%fair 3.16 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Al-Ettifaq48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
3.25Expected goals
1.44Abha xG
1.82Al-Ettifaq xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Abha 1.4 – 1.8 Al-Ettifaq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ettifaq to win✓
48%
2.10
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ettifaq / FT Al-Ettifaq✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Abha – last 6
LDLDLD
28 Aug
@ Al-Fayha
2–3
L
25 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Al Orubah
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs Al-Hazm
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ Rizespor
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Ettifaq – last 6
LLWLWL
29 Aug
vs Al Diriyah
0–3
L
25 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Al-Fateh
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al Jabalain
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Al Riyadh
4–2
W
25 Jul
@ Eldense
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Abha and Al-Ettifaq.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
On our numbers Abha have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Ettifaq 48%.
How many goals will there be in Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
Our predicted score is Abha 1–1 Al-Ettifaq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
Abha vs Al-Ettifaq (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
