Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: NEOM to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEOM to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Al Riyadh vs NEOM preview and prediction
The match
Al Riyadh host NEOM in the Pro League on Friday 28 August, with kick-off at 16:50 (WAT) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium. Al Riyadh are 12th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while NEOM sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al Riyadh's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Al Shabab 3–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
NEOM's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NEOM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Al Riyadh and 2.1 for NEOM. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Riyadh 22%, draw 20%, NEOM 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Value angle: NEOM to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Riyadh 1–2 NEOM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Riyadh22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
NEOM58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
3.35Expected goals
1.24Al Riyadh xG
2.11NEOM xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Riyadh 1.2 – 2.1 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Half-time result
NEOM ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Al Riyadh – last 6
DLWLWL
25 Aug
@ Al Shabab
3–3
D
21 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
0–4
L
17 Aug
@ Al Zulfi
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
2–4
L
21 May
vs Al Okhdood
1–0
W
4 May
@ Al-Fayha
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NEOM – last 6
LWWWWW
24 Aug
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Al-Fayha
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Las Palmas
1–0
W
24 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Riyadh and NEOM.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
On our numbers Al Riyadh have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NEOM 58%.
How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 1–2 NEOM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
Al Riyadh vs NEOM (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:50 (West Africa Time) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
