Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Al Shabab to win @ 1.75 – our chance 67% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗67% · @1.75
Double chanceAl Shabab or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.74
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al Shabab take on Al Riyadh on Tuesday 25 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at SHG Arena. Al Shabab are 10th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Al Riyadh sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Shabab's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al Riyadh's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Al Riyadh 1–1 Al Shabab. Across their last 2 meetings Al Shabab have won 1, Al Riyadh 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Al Shabab and 0.9 for Al Riyadh. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Shabab 67%, draw 20%, Al Riyadh 13%.
Safer route: Al Shabab or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Al Shabab to win at 1.75 – 67% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Shabab or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Shabab67%fair 1.50 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.90
Al Riyadh13%fair 7.80 · @4.20
3.26Expected goals
2.31Al Shabab xG
0.95Al Riyadh xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 2.3 – 0.9 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our pick is Al Shabab or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Riyadh 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at SHG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
