Al-Fateh travel to King Saud University Stadium in the Pro League on Saturday 15 August (19:00 WAT) to face Al-Nassr. Al-Nassr are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Almeria 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Al-Fateh's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Mallorca 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Al-Nassr and 1.2 for Al-Fateh. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Fateh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr70%fair 1.44 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @8.40
Al-Fateh12%fair 8.33 · @17.00
4.03Expected goals
2.83Al-Nassr xG
1.20Al-Fateh xG
53%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.8 – 1.2 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
70%
1.44
1.12
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Al-Nassr – last 6
LLWDWW
4 Aug
vs Almeria
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
LDWLDW
25 Jul
@ Mallorca
0–3
L
21 May
@ Al Kholood
0–0
D
14 May
vs Al Najma
2–0
W
6 May
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al-Fateh 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Saud University Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
