Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Port FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC preview and prediction
The match
Port FC travel to face Persebaya Surabaya in the Piala Presiden on Saturday 1 August (13:30 WAT).
Form guide
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat PSMS Medan 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port FC's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Persija 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.0 for Port FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Persebaya Surabaya 40%, draw 26%, Port FC 34%.
Value angle: Port FC to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 1–1 Port FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.80
Port FC34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
2.14Expected goals
1.13Persebaya Surabaya xG
1.01Port FC xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.1 – 1.0 Port FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WWWWDW
29 Jul
vs PSMS Medan
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Persija
1–0
W
23 May
vs Persik Kediri
5–0
W
15 May
@ Semen Padang
7–0
W
9 May
@ Persis Solo
0–0
D
2 May
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port FC – last 6
DWWWDW
29 Jul
vs Persija
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ PSMS Medan
2–0
W
24 May
@ BG Pathum United
1–0
W
10 May
@ Ayutthaya FC
4–1
W
19 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and Port FC.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Port FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–1 Port FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC (Piala Presiden) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Piala Presiden · Indonesia
