Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceNong Bua Pitchaya or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United preview and prediction
The match
Nong Bua Pitchaya host Mahasarakham United in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Pitchaya Stadium. Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Mahasarakham United sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Bangkok 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Mahasarakham United's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Huasamrong Gateway 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 0.9 for Mahasarakham United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nong Bua Pitchaya to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–0 Mahasarakham United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nong Bua Pitchaya67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Mahasarakham United13%fair 7.87 · @4.00
3.21Expected goals
2.28Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
0.93Mahasarakham United xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.3 – 0.9 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✓
67%
1.50
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Nong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
WLWDWD
21 Oct
@ Bangkok
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Nakhon Pathom
3–4
L
14 Oct
vs Chiangmai United
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Chanthaburi
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Satun
4–3
W
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mahasarakham United – last 6
DDLLDD
20 Oct
@ Huasamrong Gateway
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Muangthong United
0–0
D
14 Oct
@ Kasetsart FC
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Uttaradit
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Kanchanaburi
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Mahasarakham United.
What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mahasarakham United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–0 Mahasarakham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
