Muangthong United vs Phrae United prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Muangthong United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuangthong United to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceMuangthong United or draw ✗83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09
Muangthong United vs Phrae United preview and prediction
The match
Phrae United travel to Rajamangala National Stadium in the Thai League 2 on Tuesday 13 October (12:00 WAT) to face Muangthong United. Muangthong United are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Phrae United sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Muangthong United's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Nakhon Pathom 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Phrae United's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Kanchanaburi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Muangthong United and 0.5 for Phrae United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Muangthong United 62%, draw 21%, Phrae United 17%.
Safer route: Muangthong United or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Muangthong United to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Muangthong United 1–0 Phrae United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muangthong United62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Phrae United17%fair 6.01 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.45Muangthong United xG
0.55Phrae United xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Muangthong United 1.5 – 0.5 Phrae United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Double chance
Muangthong United or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.09
–
Form
Muangthong United – last 6
LWLWDL
10 Oct
@ Nakhon Pathom
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Chiangmai United
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Satun
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Phrae United – last 6
WWLDLD
9 Oct
vs Kanchanaburi
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Esan Pattaya
3–0
W
17 Sep
@ Muang Loei United
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Nakhon Pathom
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Chainat
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Esan Pattaya
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Phrae United.
What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
Our pick is Muangthong United to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
On our numbers Muangthong United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phrae United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
Our predicted score is Muangthong United 1–0 Phrae United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
Muangthong United vs Phrae United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
