Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Nong Bua Pitchaya to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChanthaburi to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Chanthaburi take on Nong Bua Pitchaya on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Chanthaburi Stadium. Chanthaburi are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Chanthaburi's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Uttaradit 3–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Satun 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Chanthaburi and 1.6 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Nong Bua Pitchaya to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Chanthaburi 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chanthaburi39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Nong Bua Pitchaya37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.65Chanthaburi xG
1.60Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chanthaburi 1.7 – 1.6 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chanthaburi to win✗
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chanthaburi / FT Chanthaburi✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Chanthaburi – last 6
LWDLDL
20 Sep
@ Uttaradit
3–4
L
17 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Kanchanaburi
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Songkhla
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Sisaket United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
WDLWLW
19 Sep
vs Satun
4–3
W
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Muangthong United
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Khon Kaen United
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chanthaburi and Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What is the prediction for Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Chanthaburi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Chanthaburi 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chanthaburi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
