Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Esan Pattaya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Esan Pattaya to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsan Pattaya to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEsan Pattaya or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.22
Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Esan Pattaya take on Phrae United on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Nongprue Municipality Stadium. Esan Pattaya are 13th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Phrae United sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esan Pattaya's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Chainat 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Phrae United's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Muang Loei United 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Esan Pattaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Phrae United 0–0 Esan Pattaya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Esan Pattaya and 0.4 for Phrae United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esan Pattaya 63%, draw 21%, Phrae United 17%.
Safer route: Esan Pattaya or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Esan Pattaya to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Esan Pattaya or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Esan Pattaya 1–0 Phrae United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esan Pattaya63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.10
Phrae United17%fair 5.98 · @3.40
1.67Expected goals
1.26Esan Pattaya xG
0.41Phrae United xG
46%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–019%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Esan Pattaya 1.3 – 0.4 Phrae United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
Our pick is Esan Pattaya or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
On our numbers Esan Pattaya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phrae United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
Our predicted score is Esan Pattaya 1–0 Phrae United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nongprue Municipality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
