Value bet: Muangthong United to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuangthong United to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Satun vs Muangthong United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Satun take on Muangthong United on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Satun are 5th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Muangthong United sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Muangthong United's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Satun and 1.6 for Muangthong United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Satun 37%, draw 23%, Muangthong United 40%.
Value angle: Muangthong United to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Satun 1–2 Muangthong United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Satun37%fair 2.67 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Muangthong United40%fair 2.50 · @2.75
3.04Expected goals
1.49Satun xG
1.55Muangthong United xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Satun 1.5 – 1.6 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✗
40%
2.50
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Satun – last 2
WL
12 Sep
@ Songkhla
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Kanchanaburi
2–4
L
2.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Muangthong United – last 6
WDLDDW
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chiangrai United
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Satun and Muangthong United.
What is the prediction for Satun vs Muangthong United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Satun vs Muangthong United?
On our numbers Satun have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Muangthong United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Satun vs Muangthong United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Satun vs Muangthong United?
Our predicted score is Satun 1–2 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Satun vs Muangthong United?
Satun vs Muangthong United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
