Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.82
Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya preview and prediction
The match
Muangthong United host Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Thunderdome Stadium. Muangthong United are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Muangthong United's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Uttaradit 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Kasetsart FC 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.6 for Muangthong United and 0.4 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Muangthong United 0–0 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muangthong United43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Nong Bua Pitchaya35%fair 2.90 · @2.90
1.00Expected goals
0.56Muangthong United xG
0.44Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
47%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–021%
0–116%
1–19%
2–06%
0–23%
From our goals model: Muangthong United 0.6 – 0.4 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✓
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.82
–
Form
Muangthong United – last 6
DLDDWL
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chiangrai United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Buriram United
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
WLWWLD
6 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Khon Kaen United
4–2
W
28 Mar
vs Police Tero
6–3
W
22 Mar
@ Nakhon Pathom
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Muangthong United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 35%.
How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Muangthong United 0–0 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Thunderdome Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
