Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceNong Bua Pitchaya or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 8.98
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 2 sees Nong Bua Pitchaya take on Kasetsart FC on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Pitchaya Stadium. Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Kasetsart FC sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Police Tero 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Kasetsart FC's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Khon Kaen United 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 0.9 for Kasetsart FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Safer route: Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nong Bua Pitchaya to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–0 Kasetsart FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nong Bua Pitchaya63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Kasetsart FC14%fair 7.17 · @3.80
2.94Expected goals
2.05Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
0.89Kasetsart FC xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.1 – 0.9 Kasetsart FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✓
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Nong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
8.98
–
Form
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
LWWLDW
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Khon Kaen United
4–2
W
28 Mar
vs Police Tero
6–3
W
22 Mar
@ Nakhon Pathom
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Trat FC
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kasetsart FC – last 6
LWDLWD
19 Apr
@ Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Trat FC
4–0
W
25 Mar
vs Sisaket United
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Rasi Salai United
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Nakhon Pathom
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Songkhla
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Kasetsart FC.
What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kasetsart FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–0 Kasetsart FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
