Liga II · Romania · Baza Sportiva FC BacauFC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava prediction & analysis
FC Bacau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: FC Bacau to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Bacau 2.1 – 1.1 Cetatea Suceava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Bacau hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 15% for Cetatea Suceava.
FC Bacau have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Cetatea Suceava have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for FC Bacau, 1.1 for Cetatea Suceava). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is FC Bacau or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, FC Bacau to win at 1.85 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Bacau to win ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | FC Bacau or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | FC Bacau ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Bacau / FT FC Bacau ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.11 | – |
Form
FC Bacau – last 6
| 15 Sep | @ CSM Reşiţa | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Dumbrăviţa | 6–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Universitatea Craiova | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Slatina | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Popești-Leordeni | 3–0 | W |
Cetatea Suceava – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Popești-Leordeni | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Ştefăneşti | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs CSM Satu Mare | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ USV Iaşi | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Bacau and Cetatea Suceava.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
Our pick is FC Bacau or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
On our numbers FC Bacau have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cetatea Suceava 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava?
FC Bacau vs Cetatea Suceava (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Baza Sportiva FC Bacau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.