Liga II · Romania · Stadionul ConcordiaConcordia vs Metalul Buzău prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Metalul Buzău to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Concordia 1.7 – 1.5 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Concordia hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Metalul Buzău.
Concordia have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 3.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Metalul Buzău have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Concordia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 for Concordia, 1.5 for Metalul Buzău). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.63. For a bigger price, Metalul Buzău to win at 3.25 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Concordia to win ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Concordia / FT Concordia ✗ | 26% | 3.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.19 | – |
Form
Concordia – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ CS Dinamo București | 5–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs CS Afumati | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Progresul Spartac | 5–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Metaloglobus | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs FC Politehnica Timisoara | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Oţelul | 5–1 | W |
Metalul Buzău – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Unirea Slobozia | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Viitorul Şelimbăr | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Chindia Targoviste | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Slatina | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Gloria Bistriţa | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ CS Dinamo București | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concordia and Metalul Buzău.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Concordia vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Concordia vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers Concordia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metalul Buzău 34%.
How many goals will there be in Concordia vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Concordia vs Metalul Buzău?
Concordia vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Concordia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.