The Premyer Liqa sees Neftchi Baku take on Kapaz on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Palms Sports Arena. Neftchi Baku are 1st with 24 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Kapaz sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Neftchi Baku's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Şamaxı FK 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Kapaz's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Imisli FK 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Kapaz 0–1 Neftchi Baku. Across their last 2 meetings Neftchi Baku have won 2, Kapaz 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Neftchi Baku and 0.7 for Kapaz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neftchi Baku 71%, draw 18%, Kapaz 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.84.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi Baku to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Neftchi Baku 2–0 Kapaz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neftchi Baku71%fair 1.41 · @1.34
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.25
Kapaz11%fair 9.12 · @7.10
2.91Expected goals
2.19Neftchi Baku xG
0.72Kapaz xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 2.2 – 0.7 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kapaz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 2–0 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
