Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.46
Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku preview and prediction
The match
Neftchi Baku travel to Shamakhi City Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT) to face Şamaxı FK. Şamaxı FK are 7th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Neftchi Baku sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Şamaxı FK's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Hypers Guba 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Neftchi Baku's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Turan 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Keshla FC 2–2 Neftchi Baku.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Şamaxı FK and 2.1 for Neftchi Baku. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şamaxı FK 15%, draw 21%, Neftchi Baku 64%.
Safer route: Neftchi Baku or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi Baku to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Şamaxı FK 0–2 Neftchi Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şamaxı FK15%fair 6.72 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
Neftchi Baku64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
3.06Expected goals
0.94Şamaxı FK xG
2.12Neftchi Baku xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Şamaxı FK 0.9 – 2.1 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Şamaxı FK have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Neftchi Baku 64%.
How many goals will there be in Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Şamaxı FK 0–2 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
