Qarabag travel to face Qabala in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday 31 October (14:30 WAT). Qabala are 10th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Qarabag sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Qabala's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Mingəçevir 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Qarabag's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Sabah FA 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qarabag arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Qabala and 1.9 for Qarabag. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qabala 12%, draw 18%, Qarabag 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Qarabag to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Qabala 0–1 Qarabag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qabala12%fair 8.32 · @7.50
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.20
Qarabag70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
2.47Expected goals
0.59Qabala xG
1.88Qarabag xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
0–39%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Qabala 0.6 – 1.9 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
Qarabag or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Qarabag ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Qabala – last 6
WWLLLL
27 Oct
vs Mingəçevir
3–0
W
23 Oct
@ Araz
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Sabah FA
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Qarabag – last 6
DDWWDW
25 Oct
@ Sabah FA
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Neftchi Baku
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Imisli FK
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Safa Baku
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Zira
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Araz
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qabala and Qarabag.
Our pick is Qarabag to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Qabala vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Qabala have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Qarabag 70%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Qabala 0–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Qarabag?
Qabala vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
