Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Zira to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZira to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceZira or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Kapaz vs Zira preview and prediction
The match
Zira travel to Ganja City Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 18 October (15:30 WAT) to face Kapaz. Kapaz are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Zira sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kapaz's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Araz 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zira's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Şamaxı FK 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Zira 2–2 Kapaz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Kapaz and 1.7 for Zira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kapaz 12%, draw 23%, Zira 64%.
Safer route: Zira or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Zira to win at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zira or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kapaz 0–1 Zira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kapaz12%fair 8.19 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Zira64%fair 1.55 · @1.83
2.31Expected goals
0.59Kapaz xG
1.72Zira xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Kapaz 0.6 – 1.7 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zira or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kapaz vs Zira?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zira 64%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Zira?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Zira?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Zira?
Kapaz vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
