Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Sumqayıt vs Qabala preview and prediction
The match
Sumqayıt host Qabala in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Sumqayıt are 9th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Qabala sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sumqayıt's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Kapaz 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Qabala's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Neftchi Baku 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala. Across their last 2 meetings Sumqayıt have won 1, Qabala 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Sumqayıt and 0.9 for Qabala. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sumqayıt 43%, draw 24%, Qabala 33%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sumqayıt43%fair 2.31 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Qabala33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
1.91Expected goals
1.05Sumqayıt xG
0.86Qabala xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.1 – 0.9 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qabala 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Sumqayıt vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
