The Premyer Liqa sees Araz take on Kapaz on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Shamakhi City Stadium. Araz are 12th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Kapaz sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Araz's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Şamaxı FK 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kapaz's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Sumqayıt 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kapaz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Araz and 1.2 for Kapaz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araz 44%, draw 22%, Kapaz 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Araz 1–1 Kapaz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araz44%fair 2.29 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Kapaz34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.42Araz xG
1.22Kapaz xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Araz 1.4 – 1.2 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✗
44%
2.29
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araz / FT Araz✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.86
–
Form
Araz – last 6
LDLLLD
20 Sep
@ Şamaxı FK
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Turan
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Qarabag
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Neftchi Baku
0–5
L
15 Aug
vs Imisli FK
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kapaz – last 6
DWLWLL
20 Sep
vs Sumqayıt
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Qabala
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Şamaxı FK
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Turan
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
23 May
vs Neftchi Baku
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Kapaz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Araz vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Araz have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kapaz 34%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Kapaz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Kapaz?
Araz vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
