Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSabah FA to win ✓65% · @1.25
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.50
Safa Baku vs Sabah FA preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Safa Baku take on Sabah FA on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at ASK Arena. Safa Baku are 11th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Sabah FA sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Safa Baku's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Neftchi Baku 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sabah FA's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Manchester United 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sabah FA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Safa Baku and 1.7 for Sabah FA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Safa Baku 16%, draw 18%, Sabah FA 65%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sabah FA to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Safa Baku 0–1 Sabah FA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Safa Baku16%fair 6.08 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.80
Sabah FA65%fair 1.53 · @1.25
2.43Expected goals
0.68Safa Baku xG
1.75Sabah FA xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 0.7 – 1.7 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
65%
1.53
1.25
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Sabah FA ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.50
–
Form
Safa Baku – last 6
LLWLLD
5 Sep
@ Neftchi Baku
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Imisli FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Qabala
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Zira
0–2
L
22 May
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
6 May
@ Difai Ağsu
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 6
LWWWLW
10 Sep
@ Manchester United
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Zira
5–0
W
31 Aug
@ Araz
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
3–2
W
19 Aug
@ Hapoel Beer Sheva
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Kapaz
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Sabah FA to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sabah FA 65%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 0–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
Safa Baku vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at ASK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
