Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Turan to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTuran to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceTuran or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗24% · fair 4.16
Kapaz vs Turan preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Kapaz take on Turan on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ganja City Stadium. Kapaz are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Turan sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kapaz's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Turan's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Şamaxı FK 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Turan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Kapaz 1–1 Turan. Across their last 2 meetings Kapaz have won 0, Turan 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.4 for Kapaz and 1.3 for Turan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kapaz 14%, draw 22%, Turan 63%.
Safer route: Turan or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Turan to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kapaz 0–1 Turan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kapaz14%fair 6.91 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Turan63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
1.69Expected goals
0.39Kapaz xG
1.30Turan xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–124%
0–018%
0–216%
1–19%
1–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Kapaz 0.4 – 1.3 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kapaz vs Turan?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Turan 63%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Turan?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Turan?
Kapaz vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
