Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQabala to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceQabala or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.22
Qabala vs Şamaxı FK preview and prediction
The match
Qabala host Şamaxı FK in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Qabala are 10th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Şamaxı FK sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Qabala's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Safa Baku 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Şamaxı FK's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Turan 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Qabala 3–1 Şamaxı FK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for Qabala and 0.4 for Şamaxı FK. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qabala 57%, draw 22%, Şamaxı FK 21%.
Safer route: Qabala or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Qabala or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Qabala 1–0 Şamaxı FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qabala57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Şamaxı FK21%fair 4.74 · @3.90
1.50Expected goals
1.06Qabala xG
0.44Şamaxı FK xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–022%
2–013%
1–110%
0–110%
2–16%
From our goals model: Qabala 1.1 – 0.4 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Qabala or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Qabala have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Şamaxı FK 21%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Qabala 1–0 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
Qabala vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
