Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Ascoli to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Ascoli vs Palermo preview and prediction
The match
Palermo travel to Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in the Serie B on Friday 6 November (20:30 WAT) to face Ascoli. Ascoli are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Palermo sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Ascoli's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Arezzo 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palermo's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Vicenza Virtus 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ascoli and 1.6 for Palermo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascoli 35%, draw 22%, Palermo 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Ascoli to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–1 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Palermo44%fair 2.30 · @2.20
2.94Expected goals
1.37Ascoli xG
1.57Palermo xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.4 – 1.6 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✗
44%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
Ascoli – last 6
DWWDDW
1 Nov
@ Arezzo
0–0
D
27 Oct
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Catanzaro
6–1
W
17 Oct
vs Empoli
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Sudtirol
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Avellino
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WDWWWW
1 Nov
vs Vicenza Virtus
3–1
W
28 Oct
@ Pisa
3–3
D
25 Oct
vs Carrarese
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Mantova
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Empoli
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Padova
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Palermo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palermo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Palermo?
Ascoli vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
