Value bet: Ascoli to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAscoli to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.88
Arezzo vs Ascoli preview and prediction
The match
Arezzo host Ascoli in the Serie B on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Citta di Arezzo. Arezzo are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Ascoli sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Arezzo's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Carrarese 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ascoli's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Sampdoria 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 March 2026, finished Arezzo 1–2 Ascoli.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Arezzo and 1.6 for Ascoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arezzo 28%, draw 22%, Ascoli 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ascoli to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Arezzo 1–1 Ascoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arezzo28%fair 3.58 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Ascoli50%fair 2.01 · @2.15
2.78Expected goals
1.15Arezzo xG
1.63Ascoli xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.1 – 1.6 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ascoli 50%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Arezzo vs Ascoli (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
