Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHellas Verona to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceHellas Verona or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Hellas Verona take on Catanzaro on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Hellas Verona are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Hellas Verona's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Modena 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Catanzaro's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Mantova 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Hellas Verona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Hellas Verona and 1.1 for Catanzaro. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hellas Verona to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hellas Verona or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hellas Verona 2–1 Catanzaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hellas Verona61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.50
Catanzaro14%fair 7.32 · @4.00
3.33Expected goals
2.26Hellas Verona xG
1.07Catanzaro xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hellas Verona 2.3 – 1.1 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hellas Verona or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Hellas Verona ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Hellas Verona – last 6
LWWLWW
11 Oct
@ Modena
2–3
L
2 Oct
@ FC Lugano
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Benevento
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Catanzaro – last 6
LLWLLL
11 Oct
vs Mantova
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sudtirol
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Pisa
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hellas Verona and Catanzaro.
What is the prediction for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Our pick is Hellas Verona or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Hellas Verona have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Catanzaro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Hellas Verona 2–1 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?
Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
