Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Avellino vs Palermo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Avellino take on Palermo on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Avellino are 5th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Palermo sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Avellino's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Modena 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Palermo's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sampdoria 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Palermo 2–0 Avellino.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Avellino and 1.6 for Palermo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avellino 31%, draw 22%, Palermo 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Avellino to win at 3.75 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Avellino 1–1 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avellino31%fair 3.23 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Palermo47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.24Avellino xG
1.59Palermo xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Avellino 1.2 – 1.6 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Avellino vs Palermo?
On our numbers Avellino have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palermo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Avellino vs Palermo?
Avellino vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
