Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Palermo vs Sampdoria preview and prediction
The match
Palermo host Sampdoria in the Serie B on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Sampdoria sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palermo's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Mantova 5–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sampdoria's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Juve Stabia 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Palermo and 0.8 for Sampdoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Palermo to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
Sampdoria15%fair 6.66 · @4.60
2.75Expected goals
1.91Palermo xG
0.84Sampdoria xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 0.8 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Palermo – last 6
WWWWLW
3 Sep
vs Mantova
5–2
W
30 Aug
@ Arezzo
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lecce
2–0
W
11 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Melbourne City
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sampdoria – last 6
LDLWLD
29 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Cesena
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cremonese
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Parma
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Novara
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Cagliari
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Sampdoria.
Our pick is Palermo to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Palermo vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Palermo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sampdoria 15%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Sampdoria?
Palermo vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
