Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cremonese to win @ 1.84 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCremonese to win ✗60% · @1.84
Double chanceCremonese or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58
Cremonese vs Modena preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Cremonese take on Modena on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Cremonese are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Modena sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cremonese's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Empoli 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Modena's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Benevento 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Cremonese and 0.6 for Modena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cremonese 60%, draw 25%, Modena 15%.
Safer route: Cremonese or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Cremonese to win at 1.84 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cremonese or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cremonese 1–0 Modena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cremonese60%fair 1.68 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Modena15%fair 6.71 · @4.40
2.14Expected goals
1.53Cremonese xG
0.61Modena xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cremonese 1.5 – 0.6 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cremonese to win✗
60%
1.68
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Cremonese or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.58
–
Form
Cremonese – last 6
LWDDWL
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Cittadella
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Giana Erminio
4–0
W
24 May
vs Como
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
WLDWLW
22 Aug
@ Benevento
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Venezia
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Trento
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Virtus Bolzano
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Modena.
Our pick is Cremonese or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cremonese vs Modena?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Modena 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Modena?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 1–0 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Modena?
Cremonese vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
