Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cariari Pococi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCariari Pococi to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceCariari Pococi or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC preview and prediction
The match
Aserri FC travel to face Cariari Pococi in the Liga De Ascenso on Sunday 25 October (01:00 WAT).
Form guide
Cariari Pococi's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Guadalupe FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Aserri FC's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to AD Sarchí 1–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Aserri FC 1–1 Cariari Pococi. Across their last 2 meetings Cariari Pococi have won 0, Aserri FC 0, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Cariari Pococi and 0.7 for Aserri FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cariari Pococi 58%, draw 22%, Aserri FC 19%.
Safer route: Cariari Pococi or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Cariari Pococi to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cariari Pococi or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cariari Pococi 1–0 Aserri FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cariari Pococi58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Aserri FC19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
2.30Expected goals
1.55Cariari Pococi xG
0.75Aserri FC xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cariari Pococi 1.6 – 0.7 Aserri FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
Our pick is Cariari Pococi or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
On our numbers Cariari Pococi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aserri FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
Our predicted score is Cariari Pococi 1–0 Aserri FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC?
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.