Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Aserri FC take on AD Carmelita on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Aserri FC's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Santa Cruz FC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AD Carmelita's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Guadalupe FC 0–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 August 2026, finished AD Carmelita 1–2 Aserri FC. Across their last 2 meetings Aserri FC have won 1, AD Carmelita 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Aserri FC and 1.3 for AD Carmelita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aserri FC 38%, draw 23%, AD Carmelita 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Aserri FC 1–1 AD Carmelita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aserri FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
AD Carmelita39%fair 2.57 · @2.70
2.65Expected goals
1.32Aserri FC xG
1.33AD Carmelita xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.3 – 1.3 AD Carmelita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AD Carmelita 39%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 1–1 AD Carmelita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita?
Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
