Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees AD Carmelita take on Santa Ana on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Piedades. AD Carmelita are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Ana sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
AD Carmelita's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat CS Uruguay 6–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Santa Ana's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Aserri FC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Santa Ana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished AD Carmelita 2–3 Santa Ana. Across their last 2 meetings AD Carmelita have won 0, Santa Ana 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for AD Carmelita and 1.4 for Santa Ana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Carmelita 39%, draw 23%, Santa Ana 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: AD Carmelita 2–1 Santa Ana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Carmelita39%fair 2.54 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Santa Ana38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
2.86Expected goals
1.45AD Carmelita xG
1.41Santa Ana xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.4 – 1.4 Santa Ana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Ana 38%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 2–1 Santa Ana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Piedades.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aserri FC0