Value bet: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 34.60
Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Guadalupe FC take on Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Coyella Fonseca. Guadalupe FC are 7th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guadalupe FC's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Futbol Consultants Moravia 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Cariari Pococi 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 August 2026, finished Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2–2 Guadalupe FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Guadalupe FC and 1.4 for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guadalupe FC 38%, draw 23%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 39%.
Value angle: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Guadalupe FC 1–2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalupe FC38%fair 2.64 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC39%fair 2.53 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.40Guadalupe FC xG
1.43Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Guadalupe FC 1.4 – 1.4 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win✗
39%
2.53
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC / FT Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC✗
What is the prediction for Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
On our numbers Guadalupe FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 39%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Our predicted score is Guadalupe FC 1–2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Guadalupe FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Coyella Fonseca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
